Videos

Watch the latest videos from IHME, including data stories, events, seminars, and training tutorials.
Video

Bayesian reconstruction: estimating past populations and vital rates by age with uncertainty in a variety of data-quality contexts

Bayesian population reconstruction is a method for estimating past populations by age with fully probabilistic statements of uncertainty. It simultaneously estimates age-specific population counts, vital rates, and net migration from fragmentary data while formally accounting for measurement error. As inputs, it takes bias-reduced initial estimates of age-specific population counts, vital rates and net migration, and expert opinion about measurement error informed by data where available. We describe the new approach in the context of existing methods and demonstrate its flexibility by showing that it works well in countries with widely varying levels of data quality by applying it to very different countries, namely Laos and New Zealand. Remaining challenges and future directions will be discussed.

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The state of health in the Arab world: Interview with Dr. Ali H. Mokdad

Countries in the Arab world -- from Saudi Arabia to Mauritania to Yemen -- have made some significant health gains over the past two decades, including increases in life expectancy and swift reductions in child mortality. But the rise of chronic diseases, diet-related risk factors, and deaths from road injuries during the same period threatens that progress.

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The Roux Prize: Interview with Theo Vos

When a risk factor for poor health affects one part of a community more than another, policymakers have two choices: continue with a one-size-fits-all approach or find a new way to focus on the population most at risk.

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Improving the quality of siblings’ survival histories: results from a randomized controlled trial in Niakhar (Senegal) and next steps

In countries with limited vital registration, adult mortality rates are frequently estimated using siblings’ survival histories (SSH) collected during nationally representative surveys such as the Demographic and Health Surveys. Such data may underestimate adult mortality because of reporting errors and omissions of deceased siblings. Dr. Helleringer and fellow researchers developed a new SSH questionnaire, the siblings’ life calendar (SLC), which incorporates recall cues designed to limit omissions of siblings and uses a life calendar approach to improve the reporting of dates and ages. They tested whether the SLC improved the quality and completeness of death reports in SSH during a randomized controlled trial in Niakhar (Senegal).

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A Statistician’s Challenges with HIV and AIDS

Dr. Jewell’s arrival as an Assistant Professor at Berkeley in 1981 coincided with the peak of the HIV epidemic in the San Francisco Bay Area. From that moment on he was involved in many studies of the epidemiology of AIDS and subsequently intervention and treatment trials. He will discuss some of the statistical challenges associated with population studies of HIV and how methods developed to study the epidemic turned out to have much broader application.

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Municipal wastewater as a population measure of hidden health behaviors

Many health behaviors are difficult to measure. Estimates of illegal drug use are subject to substantial self-report and sampling biases. Municipal wastewater samples are routinely collected for 24-hour periods at the point of inflow to treatment plants, providing insights into substance consumption upstream that is anonymous, near real time, and relatively inexpensive. Analytic chemistry can identify specific compounds at the level of parts per billion in wastewater with very good accuracy and precision. Findings from several large-scale sampling campaigns across the Northwest for prescription and illegal drugs of abuse will be shared. Approaches to dealing with measurement and analytical issues including measuring actual population in a municipality in a 24-hour period will be discussed. The possibilities and limits of this approach for other health behaviors will be discussed.

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Scalable M&E: efficient data extraction from operational paper workflows

Founder and CEO of Captricity, Kuang Chen, demonstrates Captricity and discusses ways to incorporate paper-based data into organizational workflows by transforming static data into structured, machine-readable formats for analysis, reporting, and other uses.

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Costs of care

Global Health Metrics and Evaluation Conference (GHME) 2013